I always think a lot about how to make a decision.
I always see that there are hundreds of variables involved, and that some of them are not always included in the scope of the analysis to decide.
We are going to write an AI algorithm to be used in practice with tiebreaker problems, in decision making.
This project will allow the user to ask questions, indicate what conditions he will have at each stage of the tiebreaker, and indicate the sources for researching his question.
That’s when we don’t get the problem wrong. know the history of the pen, succinctly, when the beginning of space exploration in the 50s and 60s, we just went into the atmosphere, and research was done there, there were no computers, and a typewriter was too heavy to be taken. then it was necessary to write.
it turns out that liquids do not fall in zero gravity so it was complicated to write with pens.
so millions of dollars were spent and they created a pen that they could write anywhere.
But the problem was not the pen, because other teams wrote in Pencil.
The error in identifying the real problem, which was WRITING and not the pen, cost millions of dollars and a lot of wasted time.
Or we don’t have it, we don’t know all the information, so we make decisions without really knowing what it is about.
For example, my son-in-law made the decision to travel, without putting oil in the car’s hydraulic steering, because they only informed him that he should top up the oil, he deduced that it would be the engine oil, which he could do anywhere and at any time, this was because he had the power to decide, but he did not have full knowledge of the problem.
and so we can mention many other situations where making a decision is always an irreversible mistake.
As we also operate in the business management area, we think that if we are paid to make a decision, we cannot make one mistake and decide in our daily lives, about ourselves, about our things, it is another thing to be paid and use the resources and efforts of others and constantly make mistakes.
and Then we still run to correct our own mistakes, generating more costs.
Being developed the THEORY OF DESEMPATE, with the objective of producing decisions of administrative management of production close to perfection.
Of course, it can be applied to other decision-making, but when the variables are very subjective, and depend on psychological human factors, determining the action and the result is more difficult, which undermines the assertiveness of the theory.
Of course, the basic principles of Administration are present and here they are treated as resolved.
The principle known as PCP = that the correct sequence is
Control, Programming, and Planning. Because how to program something that we don’t control, and how to plan something that we can program.
Thus, the tiebreaker theory comes in this context, to provide a tool to assist in these three phases of the process.
Tiebreaker Theory.
For each situation tell a story. Or true cases.
For the profit offered liquidity profitability.
Evaluation criteria write.
beginning of the theory.
We know that we all do this to us, all the time, every second of our lives we are forced, pushed to make choices.
- If we wake up, if we get up if we drink coffee, if with milk, we go by car or bus, and we go in jeans or informal, if. if. If. If. If. If.
Hence this book leads us to think that many of our options are chosen in the implus.
Well, some are very important, some change our lives forever. How do we know, which is the right choice, this or that, why?
This speech argues that in writing our choices, our criteria, we will have a happier choice.
During each chapter we will see the various empirical forms of choices that we research, and we will discuss each one, presenting a way of materializing and benefiting much more from better choices.
A study of our choices.
This discourse has as simple objective to guide us to write the possibilities, the paths, the criteria, the laws, the tastes, the smells, the affinities, and to give each one a specific weight according to our understanding of importance.
Admitting that making choices in writing makes less mistakes.
Humanistic heuristics where rules of conduct can transform our lives.
Laws as a form of analysis.
Tiebreaker methods that we use naturally.
Tiebreaker out of necessity = I choose what I need at the moment.
Tiebreak by customs = we are used to doing it this way.
Tie for Moral = choose that attitude that is morally right.
Tie for taste = I like that I choose.
Affinity tie = I can feel better this way or with that, for some affinity, and this is my decision.
Tiebreaker from experience, here perhaps the greatest number of errors